Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.763433 2.027864 2.318543 2.661817 3.056218 3.495303 4.021434
2025-06-08 1.356929 1.693661 2.094895 2.608396 3.248580 4.021079 5.025246
2025-06-15 1.161657 1.556304 2.060463 2.752175 3.677701 4.875210 6.545772
2025-06-22 0.981321 1.399662 1.968042 2.797426 3.978893 5.605058 8.020402
2025-06-29 0.823006 1.241576 1.842524 2.769250 4.165688 6.197400 9.390003
2025-07-06 0.675413 1.071958 1.670418 2.640673 4.179059 6.532726 10.425227
2025-07-13 0.612676 1.018841 1.660607 2.750136 4.560550 7.461723 12.491275
2025-07-20 0.564306 0.979803 1.664789 2.878379 4.984428 8.507325 14.887610
2025-07-27 0.516764 0.934068 1.649781 2.969257 5.353666 9.505045 17.336715
2025-08-03 0.468226 0.878839 1.609664 3.008219 5.633381 10.378850 19.681084
2025-08-10 0.409781 0.796885 1.510305 2.924338 5.675176 10.826807 21.296587
2025-08-17 0.352324 0.708491 1.386879 2.776884 5.574026 10.990624 22.381928
2025-08-24 0.316170 0.658145 1.332017 2.760938 5.738616 11.707581 24.712237
2025-08-31 0.280562 0.603903 1.262382 2.705857 5.817495 12.267589 26.810995
2025-09-07 0.268708 0.597581 1.289180 2.855244 6.344624 13.818330 31.244173
2025-09-14 0.248837 0.571032 1.269820 2.902320 6.657285 14.957082 34.943874
2025-09-21 0.225205 0.532644 1.219526 2.873152 6.795026 15.730671 37.928606
2025-09-28 0.197012 0.479681 1.129502 2.739763 6.672972 15.899713 39.517534
2025-10-05 0.188526 0.472283 1.143139 2.853379 7.153484 17.534271 44.900177
2025-10-12 0.181743 0.468060 1.163636 2.986476 7.700447 19.401871 51.145400
2025-10-19 0.173120 0.457963 1.168443 3.080794 8.163009 21.124096 57.275722
2025-10-26 0.162349 0.440775 1.153219 3.121232 8.491598 22.551352 62.839720
2025-11-02 0.146478 0.407780 1.093102 3.034186 8.468157 23.059256 65.974544